Growth Projections and Capacity

Before the Council can understand the growth needs it must understand existing capacity and likely future land needs.  This page describes how the Council is doing this.


Growth Projections 2011

The purpose of the Growth Projections work is to establish the likely future population, visitor accommodation and dwelling growth in the district.  In March 2011, the growth projections for the district were reviewed and updated using latest information and data from Statistics New Zealand, the Tourism Strategy Group, and the QLDC dwelling capacity model (July 2010).  

In summary, the 2011 growth projections indicate that the average total population of the District in 2011 is 46,612 (28,440 residents and 18,172 visitors) and this is projected to increase to 67,439 (44,093 residents and 23,346 visitors) by 2031. Furthermore, the average age of the district’s population is projected to rise from just under 36 years old in 2011 to nearly 42 in 2031.

Detailed projections for the district are contained in the following:

>> Growth Projections 2011 - full report (pdf 428kb)
>> Growth Projections 2011 - tables  (xls 338kb)