Population Projections

The Queenstown Lakes District is currently the fastest growing in New Zealand and this is a key challenge we face. To assist with future planning, QLDC has spent considerable time and effort developing comprehensive growth projections. These have been estimated using the best information available. 

Projections have been developed for:

  • The resident population
  • The number of visitors (day visitors, visitors in private residences and those in commercial accommodation)
  • The number of occupied and unoccupied dwellings that will be required in the future
  • The number of visitor units that will be required in the future

This information is analysed to compare numbers on an average day and on a peak day.  Because growth is a district-wide challenge our projections include all of our communities, urban, rural, large and small. The projections are based on a ‘business as usual’ model and do not assume any constraints or intervention in the market.

Understanding migration and natural change, is a key component of predicting how the district will grow in the future. Our recent boom is likely to have been driven by an increase in visitors, technology and more flights providing opportunities for national businesses to be based in the district, and the district being a very desirable place to live.  

We will update our population projections every six months - in June and in December. The population projections consider a range of things including national data from Statistics NZ, migration and tourism numbers, building and resource consent data, analysis on existing zoned capacity and a review of development trends. 

To view the frequently asked questions, please click here.

Population data for Queenstown Lakes District: